Figure 1Data and parameter estimation of two periods.
Table 1Results of statistical analysis of Middle Eastern respiratory syndrome coronavirus data.
|
DV
|
Susceptibility |
Mortality |
Sex |
No. of cases by generation |
IV |
Age |
z = 12.9 (p < 0.001)∗
|
z = 8.65 (p < 0.001)∗
|
χ2 = 62.1158 (p = 0.472) |
– |
Sex |
— |
χ2 = 0.5818 (p = 0.4456) |
— |
χ2 = 0.9321 (p = 0.6275) |
Region |
— |
χ2 = 11.1589 (p < 0.001)∗
|
χ2 = 6.3462 (p = 0.1747) |
χ2 = 52.9542 (p < 0.001)∗
|
Mortality |
— |
— |
— |
χ2 = 4.591 (p = 0.1007)†
|
Category |
— |
— |
χ2 = 12.6924 (p < 0.001)∗
|
— |
Visited hospital |
— |
χ2 = 13.5511 (p < 0.001)∗
|
— |
— |
Table 2Parameter used in simulations for Figure 1.
Parameter |
Description |
Value |
Refs |
β
|
human-to-human transmission rate |
Estimated |
|
l
|
transmissibility of hospitalized patients |
Estimated |
|
κ
|
leaving rate from E class |
1/(6.6) |
[14]
|
ρ
|
fraction from E to I
|
0.585 |
[15]
|
γa
|
average rate from I to H
|
0.6403 |
[15]
|
γI
|
average recover rate without being hospitalized in I
|
1/5 |
[15]
|
γI
|
Rate from H to R
|
1/7 |
[15]
|