Division of Risk Assessment and International Cooperation, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju, Korea
Copyright ©2020, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Assessment no. (date) | Overall risk | Probability |
Impact | Importation | Transmission | Main trigger for risk assessment |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1st (Jan. 8th) | Low | Low | Very low | Low | Low | Need for risk assessment of the overall situation |
2nd (Jan. 16th) | Moderate | High | High | Moderate | Low | The official report of imported cases in Thailand (Jan. 13th) and Japan (Jan. 16th) |
3rd (Jan. 20th) | High | High | Very high | Moderate | Moderate | The confirmation of the first imported case in Korea (Jan. 20th) |
4th (Jan. 26th) | High | High | Very high | High | High | The rapid increase of the number of confirmed cases in China |
5th (Jan. 27th) | High | Very high | Very high | Very high | High | Identification of healthcare worker infection in other countries and potential risk of hospital outbreaks |
6th (Jan. 31st) | High | Very high | Very high | Very high | High | Declaration of Public Health Emergency of International Concern by the WHO (Jan. 31st) |
7th (Feb. 19th) | High | Very high | Very high | Very high | High | Identification of confirmed cases with no clear epidemiological link (Feb. 16th) and cluster cases related to a private religious group in Daegu province in Korea |
8th (Feb.23rd) | Very high | Very high | very High | Very high | Very high | The exponentially growing number of confirmed cases in Korea |
Probability is decided in consideration of importation and transmission.