Objective
To analyze the incidence of obesity in adults aged 19–59 years in Korea and predict its trend in the future. Methods
We considered a two-compartmental deterministic mathematical model Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS), a system of difference equations, to predict the evolution of obesity in the population and to propose strategies to reduce its incidence. Results
The prevention strategy on normal-weight individuals produced a greater improvement than that produced by treatment strategies. Conclusions
Mathematical model sensitivity analysis suggests that obesity prevention strategies are more effective than obesity treatment strategies in controlling the increase of adult obesity in Korea.
Citations
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Objectives
To investigate the possible link between Vibrio vulnificus population size in seawater and water temperature. Methods
We collected incidence and water temperature data in coastal regions of Korea and constructed a mathematical model that consisted of three classes; susceptible fish, infected fish available to humans, and infected humans. Results
We developed a mathematical model to connect V. vulnificus incidence with water temperature using estimated bacterial population sizes and actual coastal water temperatures. Conclusion
Increased V. vulnificus population sizes in marine environments may increase the risk of infection in people who eat at coastal restaurants in Korea. Furthermore, we estimated the near-future number of infected patients using our model, which will help to establish a public-health policy to reduce the disease burden.
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Roll the Dice Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5(5): 243. CrossRef
Summing Up Again Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5(4): 177. CrossRef
Years of Epidemics (2009–2011): Pandemic Influenza and Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in Korea Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2013; 4(3): 125. CrossRef
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