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Original Article
- Estimation of the Infection Window for the 2010/2011 Korean Foot-and-Mouth Disease Outbreak
- Hachung Yoon, Soon-Seek Yoon, Han Kim, Youn-Ju Kim, Byounghan Kim, Sung-Hwan Wee
- Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2013;4(3):127-132. Published online June 30, 2013
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.phrp.2013.04.010
- 3,548 View
- 18 Download
- 11 Crossref
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Abstract
PDF - Objectives
This study aims to develop a method for calculating infection time lines for disease outbreaks on farms was developed using the 2010/2011 foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) epidemic in the Republic of Korea.
Methods
Data on farm demography, the detection date of FMD, the clinical history for the manifestation of lesions, the presence of antibodies against FMD virus (including antibodies against the structural and nonstructural proteins of serotype O), vaccination status (O1 Manisa strain), the number of reactors and information on the slaughter of infected animals were utilized in this method.
Results
Based on estimates of the most likely infection date, a cumulative detection probability that an infected farm would be identified on a specific day was determined. Peak infection was observed between late December and early January, but peak detection occurred in mid-January. The early detection probability was highest for pigs, followed by cattle (dairy, then beef) and small ruminants. Nearly 90% of the infected pig farms were detected by Day 11 post-infection while 13 days were required for detection for both dairy and beef cattle farms, and 21 days were necessary for small ruminant (goat and deer) farms. On average, 8.1 ± 3.1 days passed prior to detecting the presence of FMD virus on a farm. The interval between infection and detection of FMD was inversely associated with the intensity of farming.
Conclusion
The results of our study emphasize the importance of intensive clinical inspection, which is the quickest method of detecting FMD infection and minimizing the damage caused by an epidemic. -
Citations
Citations to this article as recorded by
- Estimating the time of infection for African swine fever in pig farms in Korea
Hachung Yoon, Youngmin Son, Kyung-Sook Kim, Ilseob Lee, Yeon-Hee Kim, Eunesub Lee
Frontiers in Veterinary Science.2023;[Epub] CrossRef - A Meta-Population Model of Potential Foot-and-Mouth Disease Transmission, Clinical Manifestation, and Detection Within U.S. Beef Feedlots
Aurelio H. Cabezas, Michael W. Sanderson, Victoriya V. Volkova
Frontiers in Veterinary Science.2020;[Epub] CrossRef - Probabilistic assessment of potential leachate leakage from livestock mortality burial pits: A supervised classification approach using a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) fitted to a groundwater quality monitoring dataset
Hyun-Koo Kim, Kyoung-Ho Kim, Seong-Taek Yun, Junseop Oh, Ho-Rim Kim, Sun-Hwa Park, Moon-Su Kim, Tae-Seung Kim
Process Safety and Environmental Protection.2019; 129: 326. CrossRef - Using Simulated Annealing to Improve the Information Dissemination Network Structure of a Foreign Animal Disease Outbreak Response
James D. Pleuss, Jessica L. Heier Stamm, Jason D. Ellis
Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Managem.2018;[Epub] CrossRef - Managing complexity: Simplifying assumptions of foot-and-mouth disease models for swine
A. C. Kinsley, K. VanderWaal, M. E. Craft, R. B. Morrison, A. M. Perez
Transboundary and Emerging Diseases.2018; 65(5): 1307. CrossRef - A study on the spread of the foot-and-mouth disease in Korea in 2010/2011
Jihyun Hwang, Changhyuck Oh
Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science.2014; 25(2): 271. CrossRef - Summing Up Again
Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5(4): 177. CrossRef - Atmospheric pathway: A possibility of continuous outbreaks of foot-and-mouth disease in South Korea in 2010–2011
Prueksakorn Kritana, Kim Taehyeung, Kim Hyeontae, Kim Ki Youn, Son Wongeun
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture.2014; 108: 95. CrossRef - Journal Publishing: Never Ending Saga
Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5(1): 1. CrossRef - Roll the Dice
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Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5(5): 243. CrossRef - Years of Epidemics (2009–2011): Pandemic Influenza and Foot-and-Mouth Disease Epidemic in Korea
Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2013; 4(3): 125. CrossRef
- Estimating the time of infection for African swine fever in pig farms in Korea
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