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Original Article
- What Does a Mathematical Model Tell About the Impact of Reinfection in Korean Tuberculosis Infection?
- Sara Kim, Seoyun Choe, Junseong Kim, Sanga Nam, Yeon Shin, Sunmi Lee
- Osong Public Health Res Perspect. 2014;5(1):40-45. Published online February 28, 2014
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.phrp.2014.01.002
- 4,096 View
- 18 Download
- 9 Crossref
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Abstract
PDF - Objectives
According to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, new active tuberculosis (TB) cases have increased since 2001. Some key factors explain and characterize the transmission dynamics of Korean TB infection, such as a higher ratio of latent individuals and a new reporting system implemented in 2001, among others.
Methods
We propose a mathematical TB model that includes exogenous reinfection to gain a better understanding of the recent trend for TB incidence. We divide the simulation time window into two periods, 1970–2000 and 2001–2012, according to the implementation date of a new TB detection system.
Results
Two sets of parameters, including the transmission rate, the latent period, the recovery rate, and the proportion of exogenous reinfection, are estimated using the least-squares method and calibrated to data on the incidence of active TB.
Conclusion
Among some key parameters in the model, the case finding effort turned out to be the most significant impacting component on the reduction in the active TB cases. -
Citations
Citations to this article as recorded by
- Mathematical model of tuberculosis with seasonality, detection, and treatment
Abdul Malek, Ashabul Hoque
Informatics in Medicine Unlocked.2024; 49: 101536. CrossRef - Analysis of the different interventions scenario for programmatic measles control in Bangladesh: A modelling study
Md Abdul Kuddus, Azizur Rahman, Farzana Alam, M. Mohiuddin, Jan Rychtář
PLOS ONE.2023; 18(6): e0283082. CrossRef - Mathematical analysis of a two-strain tuberculosis model in Bangladesh
Md Abdul Kuddus, Emma S. McBryde, Adeshina I. Adekunle, Lisa J. White, Michael T. Meehan
Scientific Reports.2022;[Epub] CrossRef - Age-Specific Mathematical Model for Tuberculosis Transmission Dynamics in South Korea
Sunmi Lee, Hae-Young Park, Hohyung Ryu, Jin-Won Kwon
Mathematics.2021; 9(8): 804. CrossRef - Scenario analysis for programmatic tuberculosis control in Bangladesh: a mathematical modelling study
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Scientific Reports.2021;[Epub] CrossRef - Modeling drug-resistant tuberculosis amplification rates and intervention strategies in Bangladesh
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PLOS ONE.2020; 15(7): e0236112. CrossRef - Predictors of job satisfaction and burnout among tuberculosis management nurses and physicians
Hae-Suk Seo, Hyunjoong Kim, Se-Min Hwang, Soo Hyun Hong, In-Young Lee
Epidemiology and Health.2016; 38: e2016008. CrossRef - Is Tuberculosis Still the Number One Infectious Disease in Korea?
Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5: S1. CrossRef - Journal Publishing: Never Ending Saga
Hae-Wol Cho, Chaeshin Chu
Osong Public Health and Research Perspectives.2014; 5(1): 1. CrossRef
- Mathematical model of tuberculosis with seasonality, detection, and treatment
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