aDepartment of Applied Mathematics, Kyung Hee University, Yongin, Korea
bDivision of Epidemic Intelligence Service, Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Cheongju, Korea
Copyright © 2016 Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Published by Elsevier Korea LLC.
This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
DV |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Susceptibility | Mortality | Sex | No. of cases by generation | ||
IV | Age | z = 12.9 (p < 0.001)∗ | z = 8.65 (p < 0.001)∗ | χ2 = 62.1158 (p = 0.472) | – |
Sex | — | χ2 = 0.5818 (p = 0.4456) | — | χ2 = 0.9321 (p = 0.6275) | |
Region | — | χ2 = 11.1589 (p < 0.001)∗ | χ2 = 6.3462 (p = 0.1747) | χ2 = 52.9542 (p < 0.001)∗ | |
Mortality | — | — | — | χ2 = 4.591 (p = 0.1007)† | |
Category | — | — | χ2 = 12.6924 (p < 0.001)∗ | — | |
Visited hospital | — | χ2 = 13.5511 (p < 0.001)∗ | — | — |
Parameter | Description | Value | Refs |
---|---|---|---|
β | human-to-human transmission rate | Estimated | |
l | transmissibility of hospitalized patients | Estimated | |
κ | leaving rate from E class | 1/(6.6) | [14] |
ρ | fraction from E to I | 0.585 | [15] |
γa | average rate from I to H | 0.6403 | [15] |
γI | average recover rate without being hospitalized in I | 1/5 | [15] |
γI | Rate from H to R | 1/7 | [15] |